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1.
Stat Med ; 43(10): 1920-1932, 2024 May 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38417455

RESUMEN

Consider the choice of outcome for overall treatment benefit in a clinical trial which measures the first time to each of several clinical events. We describe several new variants of the win ratio that incorporate the time spent in each clinical state over the common follow-up, where clinical state means the worst clinical event that has occurred by that time. One version allows restriction so that death during follow-up is most important, while time spent in other clinical states is still accounted for. Three other variants are described; one is based on the average pairwise win time, one creates a continuous outcome for each participant based on expected win times against a reference distribution and another that uses the estimated distributions of clinical state to compare the treatment arms. Finally, a combination testing approach is described to give robust power for detecting treatment benefit across a broad range of alternatives. These new methods are designed to be closer to the overall treatment benefit/harm from a patient's perspective, compared to the ordinary win ratio. The new methods are compared to the composite event approach and the ordinary win ratio. Simulations show that when overall treatment benefit on death is substantial, the variants based on either the participants' expected win times (EWTs) against a reference distribution or estimated clinical state distributions have substantially higher power than either the pairwise comparison or composite event methods. The methods are illustrated by re-analysis of the trial heart failure: a controlled trial investigating outcomes of exercise training.


Asunto(s)
Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Humanos , Determinación de Punto Final/métodos , Interpretación Estadística de Datos
2.
Am J Obstet Gynecol ; 230(2): 247.e1-247.e9, 2024 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37541482

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Previous studies reported conflicting results on the relationship between oxytocin use for labor augmentation and the risk of postpartum hemorrhage, probably because it is rather challenging to disentangle oxytocin use from labor dystocia. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the independent association between oxytocin use for augmentation and the risk of postpartum hemorrhage by using advanced statistical modeling to control for labor patterns and other covariates. STUDY DESIGN: We used data from 20,899 term, cephalic, singleton pregnancies of patients with spontaneous onset of labor and no previous cesarean delivery from Intermountain Healthcare in Utah in the Consortium on Safe Labor. Presence of postpartum hemorrhage was identified on the basis of a clinical diagnosis. Propensity scores were calculated using a generalized linear mixed model for oxytocin use for augmentation, and covariate balancing generalized propensity score was applied to obtain propensity scores for the duration and total dosage of oxytocin augmentation. A weighted generalized additive mixed model was used to depict dose-response curves between the duration and total dosage of oxytocin augmentation and the outcomes. The average treatment effects of oxytocin use for augmentation on postpartum hemorrhage and estimated blood loss (mL) were assessed by inverse probability weighting of propensity scores. RESULTS: The odds of both postpartum hemorrhage and estimated blood loss increased modestly when the duration and/or total dosage of oxytocin used for augmentation increased. However, in comparison with women for whom oxytocin was not used, oxytocin augmentation was not clinically or statistically significantly associated with estimated blood loss (6.5 mL; 95% confidence interval, 2.5-10.3) or postpartum hemorrhage (adjusted odds ratio, 1.02; 95% confidence interval, 0.82-1.24) when rigorously controlling for labor pattern and potential confounders. The results remained consistent regardless of inclusion of women with an intrapartum cesarean delivery. CONCLUSION: The odds of postpartum hemorrhage and estimated blood loss increased modestly with increasing duration and total dosage of oxytocin augmentation. However, in comparison with women for whom oxytocin was not used and after controlling for potential confounders, there was no clinically significant association between oxytocin use for augmentation and estimated blood loss or the risk of postpartum hemorrhage.


Asunto(s)
Trabajo de Parto , Oxitócicos , Hemorragia Posparto , Embarazo , Humanos , Femenino , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Oxitocina/efectos adversos , Hemorragia Posparto/etiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Trabajo de Parto Inducido/efectos adversos , Oxitócicos/efectos adversos
3.
Res Sq ; 2023 Dec 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38105936

RESUMEN

Background: Post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC) is characterized by having 1 + persistent, recurrent, or emergent symptoms post the infection's acute phase. The duration and symptom manifestation of PASC remain understudied in nonhospitalized patients. Literature on PASC is primarily based on data from hospitalized patients where clinical indicators such as respiratory rate, heart rate, and oxygen saturation have been predictive of disease trajectories. Digital wearables allow for a continuous collection of such physiological parameters. This protocol outlines the design, aim, and procedures of a natural history study of PASC using digital wearables. Methods: This is a single-arm, prospective, natural history study of a cohort of 550 patients, ages 18 to 65 years old, males or females who own a smartphone and/or a tablet that meets pre-determined Bluetooth version and operating system requirements, speak English, and provide documentation of a positive COVID-19 test issued by a healthcare professional or organization within 5 days before enrollment. The study aims to identify wearables collected physiological parameters that are associated with PASC in patients with a positive diagnosis. The primary endpoint is long COVID-19, defined as ≥ 1 symptom at 3 weeks beyond first symptom onset or positive diagnosis, whichever comes first. The secondary endpoint is chronic COVID-19, defined as ≥ 1 symptom at 12 weeks beyond first symptom onset or positive diagnosis. We hypothesize that physiological parameters collected via wearables are associated with self-reported PASC. Participants must be willing and able to consent to participate in the study and adhere to study procedures for six months. Discussion: This is a fully decentralized study investigating PASC using wearable devices to collect physiological parameters and patient-reported outcomes. Given evidence on key demographics and risk profiles associated with PASC, the study will shed light on the duration and symptom manifestation of PASC in nonhospitalized patient subgroups and is an exemplar of use of wearables as population-level monitoring health tools for communicable diseases. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04927442.

4.
Am J Obstet Gynecol ; 228(5S): S1063-S1094, 2023 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37164489

RESUMEN

The past 20 years witnessed an invigoration of research on labor progression and a change of thinking regarding normal labor. New evidence is emerging, and more advanced statistical methods are applied to labor progression analyses. Given the wide variations in the onset of active labor and the pattern of labor progression, there is an emerging consensus that the definition of abnormal labor may not be related to an idealized or average labor curve. Alternative approaches to guide labor management have been proposed; for example, using an upper limit of a distribution of labor duration to define abnormally slow labor. Nonetheless, the methods of labor assessment are still primitive and subject to error; more objective measures and more advanced instruments are needed to identify the onset of active labor, monitor labor progression, and define when labor duration is associated with maternal/child risk. Cervical dilation alone may be insufficient to define active labor, and incorporating more physical and biochemical measures may improve accuracy of diagnosing active labor onset and progression. Because the association between duration of labor and perinatal outcomes is rather complex and influenced by various underlying and iatrogenic conditions, future research must carefully explore how to integrate statistical cut-points with clinical outcomes to reach a practical definition of labor abnormalities. Finally, research regarding the complex labor process may benefit from new approaches, such as machine learning technologies and artificial intelligence to improve the predictability of successful vaginal delivery with normal perinatal outcomes.


Asunto(s)
Distocia , Trabajo de Parto , Niño , Femenino , Humanos , Embarazo , Inteligencia Artificial , Parto Obstétrico , Primer Periodo del Trabajo de Parto
5.
Am J Respir Crit Care Med ; 208(1): 79-97, 2023 07 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37219236

RESUMEN

Rationale: Immature control of breathing is associated with apnea, periodic breathing, intermittent hypoxemia, and bradycardia in extremely preterm infants. However, it is not clear if such events independently predict worse respiratory outcome. Objectives: To determine if analysis of cardiorespiratory monitoring data can predict unfavorable respiratory outcomes at 40 weeks postmenstrual age (PMA) and other outcomes, such as bronchopulmonary dysplasia at 36 weeks PMA. Methods: The Prematurity-related Ventilatory Control (Pre-Vent) study was an observational multicenter prospective cohort study including infants born at <29 weeks of gestation with continuous cardiorespiratory monitoring. The primary outcome was either "favorable" (alive and previously discharged or inpatient and off respiratory medications/O2/support at 40 wk PMA) or "unfavorable" (either deceased or inpatient/previously discharged on respiratory medications/O2/support at 40 wk PMA). Measurements and Main Results: A total of 717 infants were evaluated (median birth weight, 850 g; gestation, 26.4 wk), 53.7% of whom had a favorable outcome and 46.3% of whom had an unfavorable outcome. Physiologic data predicted unfavorable outcome, with accuracy improving with advancing age (area under the curve, 0.79 at Day 7, 0.85 at Day 28 and 32 wk PMA). The physiologic variable that contributed most to prediction was intermittent hypoxemia with oxygen saturation as measured by pulse oximetry <90%. Models with clinical data alone or combining physiologic and clinical data also had good accuracy, with areas under the curve of 0.84-0.85 at Days 7 and 14 and 0.86-0.88 at Day 28 and 32 weeks PMA. Intermittent hypoxemia with oxygen saturation as measured by pulse oximetry <80% was the major physiologic predictor of severe bronchopulmonary dysplasia and death or mechanical ventilation at 40 weeks PMA. Conclusions: Physiologic data are independently associated with unfavorable respiratory outcome in extremely preterm infants.


Asunto(s)
Displasia Broncopulmonar , Recien Nacido Extremadamente Prematuro , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Humanos , Estudios Prospectivos , Respiración Artificial , Hipoxia
6.
JAMA ; 329(14): 1170-1182, 2023 04 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37039791

RESUMEN

Importance: Preclinical models suggest dysregulation of the renin-angiotensin system (RAS) caused by SARS-CoV-2 infection may increase the relative activity of angiotensin II compared with angiotensin (1-7) and may be an important contributor to COVID-19 pathophysiology. Objective: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of RAS modulation using 2 investigational RAS agents, TXA-127 (synthetic angiotensin [1-7]) and TRV-027 (an angiotensin II type 1 receptor-biased ligand), that are hypothesized to potentiate the action of angiotensin (1-7) and mitigate the action of the angiotensin II. Design, Setting, and Participants: Two randomized clinical trials including adults hospitalized with acute COVID-19 and new-onset hypoxemia were conducted at 35 sites in the US between July 22, 2021, and April 20, 2022; last follow-up visit: July 26, 2022. Interventions: A 0.5-mg/kg intravenous infusion of TXA-127 once daily for 5 days or placebo. A 12-mg/h continuous intravenous infusion of TRV-027 for 5 days or placebo. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was oxygen-free days, an ordinal outcome that classifies a patient's status at day 28 based on mortality and duration of supplemental oxygen use; an adjusted odds ratio (OR) greater than 1.0 indicated superiority of the RAS agent vs placebo. A key secondary outcome was 28-day all-cause mortality. Safety outcomes included allergic reaction, new kidney replacement therapy, and hypotension. Results: Both trials met prespecified early stopping criteria for a low probability of efficacy. Of 343 patients in the TXA-127 trial (226 [65.9%] aged 31-64 years, 200 [58.3%] men, 225 [65.6%] White, and 274 [79.9%] not Hispanic), 170 received TXA-127 and 173 received placebo. Of 290 patients in the TRV-027 trial (199 [68.6%] aged 31-64 years, 168 [57.9%] men, 195 [67.2%] White, and 225 [77.6%] not Hispanic), 145 received TRV-027 and 145 received placebo. Compared with placebo, both TXA-127 (unadjusted mean difference, -2.3 [95% CrI, -4.8 to 0.2]; adjusted OR, 0.88 [95% CrI, 0.59 to 1.30]) and TRV-027 (unadjusted mean difference, -2.4 [95% CrI, -5.1 to 0.3]; adjusted OR, 0.74 [95% CrI, 0.48 to 1.13]) resulted in no difference in oxygen-free days. In the TXA-127 trial, 28-day all-cause mortality occurred in 22 of 163 patients (13.5%) in the TXA-127 group vs 22 of 166 patients (13.3%) in the placebo group (adjusted OR, 0.83 [95% CrI, 0.41 to 1.66]). In the TRV-027 trial, 28-day all-cause mortality occurred in 29 of 141 patients (20.6%) in the TRV-027 group vs 18 of 140 patients (12.9%) in the placebo group (adjusted OR, 1.52 [95% CrI, 0.75 to 3.08]). The frequency of the safety outcomes was similar with either TXA-127 or TRV-027 vs placebo. Conclusions and Relevance: In adults with severe COVID-19, RAS modulation (TXA-127 or TRV-027) did not improve oxygen-free days vs placebo. These results do not support the hypotheses that pharmacological interventions that selectively block the angiotensin II type 1 receptor or increase angiotensin (1-7) improve outcomes for patients with severe COVID-19. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04924660.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Receptor de Angiotensina Tipo 1 , Sistema Renina-Angiotensina , Vasodilatadores , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Angiotensina II/metabolismo , Angiotensinas/administración & dosificación , Angiotensinas/uso terapéutico , COVID-19/complicaciones , COVID-19/mortalidad , COVID-19/fisiopatología , COVID-19/terapia , Hipoxia/tratamiento farmacológico , Hipoxia/etiología , Hipoxia/mortalidad , Infusiones Intravenosas , Ligandos , Oligopéptidos/administración & dosificación , Oligopéptidos/uso terapéutico , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Receptor de Angiotensina Tipo 1/administración & dosificación , Receptor de Angiotensina Tipo 1/uso terapéutico , Sistema Renina-Angiotensina/efectos de los fármacos , SARS-CoV-2 , Vasodilatadores/administración & dosificación , Vasodilatadores/uso terapéutico
7.
Biometrics ; 79(2): 1496-1506, 2023 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35246977

RESUMEN

Jeffries et al. (2018) investigated testing for a treatment difference in the setting of a randomized clinical trial with a single outcome measured longitudinally over a series of common follow-up times while adjusting for covariates. That paper examined the null hypothesis of no difference at any follow-up time versus the alternative of a difference for at least one follow-up time. We extend those results here by considering multivariate outcome measurements, where each individual outcome is examined at common follow-up times. We consider the case where there is interest in first testing for a treatment difference in a global function of the outcomes (e.g., weighted average or sum) with subsequent interest in examining the individual outcomes, should the global function show a treatment difference. Testing is conducted for each follow-up time and may be performed in the setting of a group sequential trial. Testing procedures are developed to determine follow-up times for which a global treatment difference exists and which individual combinations of outcome and follow-up time show evidence of a difference while controlling for multiplicity in outcomes, follow-up, and interim analyses. These approaches are examined in a study evaluating the effects of tissue plasminogen activator on longitudinally obtained stroke severity measurements.


Asunto(s)
Accidente Cerebrovascular , Activador de Tejido Plasminógeno , Humanos , Activador de Tejido Plasminógeno/uso terapéutico , Estudios Longitudinales , Proyectos de Investigación , Accidente Cerebrovascular/tratamiento farmacológico
10.
Chest ; 162(4): 804-814, 2022 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35504307

RESUMEN

Mortality historically has been the primary outcome of choice for acute and critical care clinical trials. However, undue reliance on mortality can limit the scope of trials that can be performed. Large sample sizes are usually needed for trials powered for a mortality outcome, and focusing solely on mortality fails to recognize the importance that reducing morbidity can have on patients' lives. The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the need for rapid, efficient trials to rigorously evaluate new therapies for hospitalized patients with acute lung injury. Oxygen-free days (OFDs) is a novel outcome for clinical trials that is a composite of mortality and duration of new supplemental oxygen use. It is designed to characterize recovery from acute lung injury in populations with a high prevalence of new hypoxemia and supplemental oxygen use. In these populations, OFDs captures two patient-centered consequences of acute lung injury: mortality and hypoxemic lung dysfunction. Power to detect differences in OFDs typically is greater than that for other clinical trial outcomes, such as mortality and ventilator-free days. OFDs is the primary outcome for the Fourth Accelerating COVID-19 Therapeutic Interventions and Vaccines (ACTIV-4) Host Tissue platform, which evaluates novel therapies targeting the host response to COVID-19 among adults hospitalized with COVID-19 and new hypoxemia. This article outlines the rationale for use of OFDs as an outcome for clinical trials, proposes a standardized method for defining and analyzing OFDs, and provides a framework for sample size calculations using the OFD outcome.


Asunto(s)
Lesión Pulmonar Aguda , COVID-19 , Adulto , COVID-19/terapia , Ensayos Clínicos como Asunto , Humanos , Hipoxia/etiología , Hipoxia/terapia , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud , Oxígeno , Pandemias
11.
Stat Med ; 41(7): 1225-1241, 2022 03 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34816472

RESUMEN

For semi-competing risks data involving a non-terminal event and a terminal event we derive the asymptotic distributions of the event-specific win ratios under proportional hazards (PH) assumptions for the relevant cause-specific hazard functions of the non-terminal and terminal event, respectively. The win ratios converge to the respective hazard ratios under the PH assumptions and therefore are censoring-free, whether or not the censoring distributions in the two treatment arms are the same. With the asymptotic bivariate normal distributions of the win ratios, confidence intervals and testing procedures are obtained. Through extensive simulation studies and data analysis, we identified proper transformations of the win ratios that yield good control of the type one error rate for various testing procedures while maintaining competitive power. The confidence intervals also have good coverage probabilities. Furthermore, a test for the PH assumptions and a test of equal hazard ratios are developed. The new procedures are illustrated in the clinical trial Aldosterone Antagonist Therapy for Adults With Heart Failure and Preserved Systolic Function, which evaluated the effects of spironolactone in patients with heart failure and a preserved left ventricular ejection fraction.


Asunto(s)
Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Función Ventricular Izquierda , Adulto , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/tratamiento farmacológico , Humanos , Antagonistas de Receptores de Mineralocorticoides/uso terapéutico , Modelos de Riesgos Proporcionales , Espironolactona/uso terapéutico , Volumen Sistólico
12.
Clin Trials ; 18(5): 521-528, 2021 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34407667

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND/AIMS: The two-by-two factorial design randomizes participants to receive treatment A alone, treatment B alone, both treatments A and B(AB), or neither treatment (C). When the combined effect of A and B is less than the sum of the A and B effects, called a subadditive interaction, there can be low power to detect the A effect using an overall test, that is, factorial analysis, which compares the A and AB groups to the C and B groups. Such an interaction may have occurred in the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes blood pressure trial (ACCORD BP) which simultaneously randomized participants to receive intensive or standard blood pressure, control and intensive or standard glycemic control. For the primary outcome of major cardiovascular event, the overall test for efficacy of intensive blood pressure control was nonsignificant. In such an instance, simple effect tests of A versus C and B versus C may be useful since they are not affected by a subadditive interaction, but they can have lower power since they use half the participants of the overall trial. We investigate multiple testing procedures which exploit the overall tests' sample size advantage and the simple tests' robustness to a potential interaction. METHODS: In the time-to-event setting, we use the stratified and ordinary logrank statistics' asymptotic means to calculate the power of the overall and simple tests under various scenarios. We consider the A and B research questions to be unrelated and allocate 0.05 significance level to each. For each question, we investigate three multiple testing procedures which allocate the type 1 error in different proportions for the overall and simple effects as well as the AB effect. The Equal Allocation 3 procedure allocates equal type 1 error to each of the three effects, the Proportional Allocation 2 procedure allocates 2/3 of the type 1 error to the overall A (respectively, B) effect and the remaining type 1 error to the AB effect, and the Equal Allocation 2 procedure allocates equal amounts to the simple A (respectively, B) and AB effects. These procedures are applied to ACCORD BP. RESULTS: Across various scenarios, Equal Allocation 3 had robust power for detecting a true effect. For ACCORD BP, all three procedures would have detected a benefit of intensive glycemia control. CONCLUSIONS: When there is no interaction, Equal Allocation 3 has less power than a factorial analysis. However, Equal Allocation 3 often has greater power when there is an interaction. The R package factorial2x2 can be used to explore the power gain or loss for different scenarios.


Asunto(s)
Proyectos de Investigación , Presión Sanguínea , Humanos , Tamaño de la Muestra
13.
JMIR Res Protoc ; 10(7): e29191, 2021 Jul 22.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34292168

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Innovative analyses of cardiovascular (CV) risk markers and health behaviors linked to neighborhood stressors are essential to further elucidate the mechanisms by which adverse neighborhood social conditions lead to poor CV outcomes. We propose to objectively measure physical activity (PA), sedentary behavior, and neighborhood stress using accelerometers, GPS, and real-time perceived ecological momentary assessment via smartphone apps and to link these to biological measures in a sample of White and African American women in Washington, DC, neighborhoods. OBJECTIVE: The primary aim of this study is to test the hypothesis that living in adverse neighborhood social conditions is associated with higher stress-related neural activity among 60 healthy women living in high or low socioeconomic status neighborhoods in Washington, DC. Sub-aim 1 of this study is to test the hypothesis that the association is moderated by objectively measured PA using an accelerometer. A secondary objective is to test the hypothesis that residing in adverse neighborhood social environment conditions is related to differences in vascular function. Sub-aim 2 of this study is to test the hypothesis that the association is moderated by objectively measured PA. The third aim of this study is to test the hypothesis that adverse neighborhood social environment conditions are related to differences in immune system activation. METHODS: The proposed study will be cross-sectional, with a sample of at least 60 women (30 healthy White women and 30 healthy Black women) from Wards 3 and 5 in Washington, DC. A sample of the women (n=30) will be recruited from high-income areas in Ward 3 from census tracts within a 15% of Ward 3's range for median household income. The other participants (n=30) will be recruited from low-income areas in Wards 5 from census tracts within a 15% of Ward 5's range for median household income. Finally, participants from Wards 3 and 5 will be matched based on age, race, and BMI. Participants will wear a GPS unit and accelerometer and report their stress and mood in real time using a smartphone. We will then examine the associations between GPS-derived neighborhood variables, stress-related neural activity measures, and adverse biological markers. RESULTS: The National Institutes of Health Institutional Review Board has approved this study. Recruitment will begin in the summer of 2021. CONCLUSIONS: Findings from this research could inform the development of multilevel behavioral interventions and policies to better manage environmental factors that promote immune system activation or psychosocial stress while concurrently working to increase PA, thereby influencing CV health. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): PRR1-10.2196/29191.

14.
J Aging Phys Act ; 29(3): 529-535, 2021 06 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33326935

RESUMEN

There is no established method for processing data from commercially available physical activity trackers. This study aims to develop a standardized approach to defining valid wear time for use in future interventions and analyses. Sixteen African American women (mean age = 62.1 years and mean body mass index = 35.5 kg/m2) wore the Fitbit Charge 2 for 20 days. Method 1 defined a valid day as ≥10-hr wear time with heart rate data. Method 2 removed minutes without heart rate data, minutes with heart rate ≤ mean - 2 SDs below mean and ≤2 steps, and nighttime. Linear regression modeled steps per day per week change. Using Method 1 (n = 292 person-days), participants had 20.5 (SD = 4.3) hr wear time per day compared with 16.3 (SD = 2.2) hr using Method 2 (n = 282) (p < .0001). With Method 1, participants took 7,436 (SD = 3,543) steps per day compared with 7,298 (SD = 3,501) steps per day with Method 2 (p = .64). The proposed algorithm represents a novel approach to standardizing data generated by physical activity trackers. Future studies are needed to improve the accuracy of physical activity data sets.


Asunto(s)
Ejercicio Físico , Monitores de Ejercicio , Algoritmos , Índice de Masa Corporal , Femenino , Frecuencia Cardíaca , Humanos
15.
Clin Trials ; 18(2): 180-187, 2021 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33231108

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND/AIMS: In clinical trials, the primary outcome is often a composite endpoint defined as time to the first occurrence of either death or certain non-fatal events. Thus, a portion of available data would be omitted. In the win ratio approach, priorities are given to the clinically more important events, and more data are used. However, its power may be low if the treatment effect is predominantly on the non-terminal event. METHODS: We propose event-specific win ratios obtained separately on the terminal and non-terminal events. They can then be used to form global tests such as a linear combination test, the maximum test, or a χ2 test. RESULTS: In simulations, these tests often improve the power of the original win ratio test. Furthermore, when the terminal and non-terminal events experience differential treatment effects, the new tests are often more powerful than the log-rank test for the composite outcome. Whether the treatment effect is primarily on the terminal events or not, the new tests based on the event-specific win ratios can be useful when different types of events are present. The new tests can reject the null hypothesis of no difference in the event distributions in the two treatment arms with the terminal event showing detrimental effect and the non-terminal event showing beneficial effect. The maximum test and the χ2 test do not have test-estimation coherency, but the maximum test has the coherency that the global null is rejected if and only if the null for one of the event types is rejected. When applied to data from the trial Aldosterone Antagonist Therapy for Adults With Heart Failure and Preserved Systolic Function (TOPCAT), the new tests all reject the null hypothesis of no treatment effect while both the log-rank test used in TOPCAT and the original win ratio approach show non-significant p-values. CONCLUSION: Whether the treatment effect is primarily on the terminal events or the non-terminal events, the maximum test based on the event-specific win ratios can be a useful alternative for testing treatment effect in clinical trials with time-to-event outcomes when different types of events are present.


Asunto(s)
Ensayos Clínicos como Asunto , Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Proyectos de Investigación , Adulto , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/tratamiento farmacológico , Humanos
16.
BMJ Open ; 10(12): e040702, 2020 12 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33371027

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Although physical activity (PA) reduces cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk, physical inactivity remains a pressing public health concern, especially among African American (AA) women in the USA. PA interventions focused on AA women living in resource-limited communities with scarce PA infrastructure are needed. Mobile health (mHealth) technology can increase access to PA interventions. We describe the development of a clinical protocol for a multilevel, community-based, mHealth PA intervention for AA women. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: An mHealth intervention targeting AA women living in resource-limited Washington, DC communities was developed based on the socioecological framework for PA. Over 6 months, we will use a Sequential Multi-Assignment, Randomized Trial approach to compare the effects on PA of location-based remote messaging (named 'tailored-to-place') to standard remote messaging in an mHealth intervention. Participants will be randomised to a remote messaging intervention for 3 months, at which point the intervention strategy will adapt based on individuals' PA levels. Those who do not meet the PA goal will be rerandomised to more intensive treatment. Participants will be followed for another 3 months to determine the contribution of each mHealth intervention to PA level. This protocol will use novel statistical approaches to account for the adaptive strategy. Finally, effects of PA changes on CVD risk biomarkers will be characterised. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This protocol has been developed in partnership with a Washington, DC-area community advisory board to ensure feasibility and acceptability to community members. The National Institutes of Health Intramural IRB approved this research and the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute provided funding. Once published, results of this work will be disseminated to community members through presentations at community advisory board meetings and our quarterly newsletter. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT03288207.


Asunto(s)
Aplicaciones Móviles , Telemedicina , Adulto , Anciano , Ejercicio Físico , Femenino , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Embarazo , Estudios Prospectivos , Resultado del Tratamiento
17.
J Clin Lipidol ; 14(1): 53-65.e2, 2020.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31784345

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Fish oil enriched in omega-11 long-chain monounsaturated fatty acids (LCMUFAs; C20:1 and C22:1 isomers combined) have shown lipid-lowering and atheroprotective effects in animal models. OBJECTIVE: To perform a first-in-human trial of LCMUFA-rich saury fish oil supplementation to test its safety and possible effect on plasma lipids. METHODS: A double-blind, randomized, crossover clinical trial was carried out in 30 healthy normolipidemic adults (BMI <25 kg/m2; mean TG, 84 mg/dL). Treatment periods of 8 weeks were separated by an 8-week washout period. Subjects were randomized to receive either 12 g of saury oil (3.5 g of LCMUFA and 3.4 g of omega-3 FAs) or identical capsules with control oil (a mixture of sardine and olive oil; 4.9 g of shorter-chain MUFA oleate and 3 g of omega-3 FAs). RESULTS: Saury oil supplementation was safe and resulted in LDL particle counts 12% lower than control oil (P < .001). Saury oil also had a minor effect on increasing HDL particle size (9.8 nm vs 9.7 nm; P < .05) based on a linear mixed effect model. In contrast, control oil, but not saury oil, increased LDL-C by 7.5% compared with baseline (P < .05). Saury oil had similar effects compared with control oil on lowering plasma TG levels, VLDL, and TG-rich lipoprotein particle counts (by ∼16%, 25%, and 35%, respectively; P < .05), and increasing HDL-C and cholesterol efflux capacity (by ∼6% and 8%, respectively; P < .05) compared with baseline. CONCLUSION: Saury oil supplementation is well tolerated and has beneficial effects on several cardiovascular parameters, such as LDL particle counts, HDL particle size, and plasma TG levels.


Asunto(s)
Ácidos Grasos Monoinsaturados/administración & dosificación , Ácidos Grasos Omega-3/administración & dosificación , Aceites de Pescado/administración & dosificación , Lípidos/sangre , Adulto , HDL-Colesterol/sangre , LDL-Colesterol/sangre , Suplementos Dietéticos/efectos adversos , Método Doble Ciego , Femenino , Voluntarios Sanos , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Aceite de Oliva/administración & dosificación , Triglicéridos/sangre
18.
Transfusion ; 59(1): 259-266, 2019 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30444537

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Short- and long-term effects of mobilization regimens in hematopoietic stem cell and granulocyte donors have been well characterized. In this study, we examined the longitudinal hematopoietic changes related to repeat stimulated granulocyte donation. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Complete blood counts for consecutive granulocyte donors between October 1994 and May 2017 were compared to unstimulated granulocyte donors. Plateletpheresis donors served as controls. The longitudinal change in precollection white blood cell (WBC) counts for these donor groups were modeled using a linear mixed-effects model. The investigated variables were granulocyte, lymphocyte, and monocyte counts and the granulocyte collection yield. Contrasts were performed to explore the effect of donation number on precollection counts. RESULTS: For the granulocyte-colony-stimulating factor plus dexamethasone (G-CSF/Dex)-stimulated group, both the granulocyte and the lymphocyte counts decreased 6.51 × 109 /L (-23.1%, p < 0.001) and 0.21 × 109 /L (-20.4%, p < 0.001), respectively, between Donation 1 and Donation 20. This effect was still present at the 3- to 4-year interval (b = -0.0008313, SE = 0.00029, p = 0.004). For the unstimulated donor group between Donation 1 and Donation 20, the lymphocyte count decreased by 0.62 × 109 /L (-51.5%, p < 0.001). This effect was only significant up to Year 2 (b = -0.0026, SE = 0.0010, p = 0.013). CONCLUSIONS: Past granulocyte donations were found to have a statistically strong negative effect on precollection granulocyte counts and lymphocyte counts and decreased granulocyte yield both in the G-CSF/Dex-stimulated donors and the unstimulated donors. In this statistical model, for both these groups, the effect of past donations on granulocyte and WBC counts were still detectable 2 years later.


Asunto(s)
Donantes de Sangre/estadística & datos numéricos , Granulocitos/citología , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Hematopoyesis/fisiología , Movilización de Célula Madre Hematopoyética , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto Joven
19.
PLoS One ; 13(10): e0205735, 2018.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30379856

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To describe labor progression patterns with oxytocin for augmentation in women who achieve vaginal delivery; and to determine how long one should wait with effective uterine contraction before labor arrest can be diagnosed. DESIGN: Population-based retrospective cohort study. POPULATION: The final sample involved 8,988 women with singleton gestation, term live birth, vertex presentation, no previous cesarean section, vaginal delivery, and neonatal Apgar score at 5 minutes at 7 or higher, and complete information on oxytocin augmentation in 2005-2007. METHODS: Linear interpolation was used from the vaginal exam records for each woman to estimate the cervical dilation when oxytocin was started and the highest dose was first reached by parity. We used survival methods to estimate quartiles of the traverse time distributions of cervical dilation. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Duration of labor under oxytocin augmentation. RESULTS: When oxytocin was just started, it took a long time to observe cervical dilation. The 50th(95th) centiles of the time interval from 4 to 5 cm, 5 to 6 cm, and 6 to 10 cm dilation were 2.9(8.8) hr, 1.7(5.8) hr, and 2.1(6.0) hr in nulliparas; and 3.1(10.1) hr, 1.9(8.0) hr, and 1.7(6.2) hr in multiparas. After effective uterine contractions were achieved under oxytocin, labor progressed much faster. The corresponding values were 0.7(2.4)hr, 0.5(1.5)hr, and 0.5(1.5)hr in nulliparas; and 0.6(1.9)hr, 0.4(1.1)hr, and 0.4(0.9)hr in multiparas. Low- and high-dose oxytocin regimens had similar effects on labor. CONCLUSION: When oxytocin is just started for labor augmentation in early first stage, it may take up to 10 hours for the cervix to dilate by 1 cm. Once effective uterine contractions are achieved and the cervix is dilated more than 5 cm, cervical dilation to the next centimeter occurs within 2 hrs in both nulliparas and multiparas in 95% of the cases. High- and low-dose oxytocin had a similar impact on labor progression in augmented labor.


Asunto(s)
Trabajo de Parto Inducido , Oxitocina/administración & dosificación , Parto/efectos de los fármacos , Contracción Uterina/efectos de los fármacos , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Oxitocina/efectos adversos , Embarazo , Estudios Retrospectivos
20.
BMJ Open ; 8(8): e021670, 2018 08 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30082355

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To identify obstetrical subgroups in which (1) the caesarean delivery (CD) rate may be reduced without compromising safety and (2) CD may be associated with better perinatal outcomes. DESIGN: A multicentre cross-sectional study. SETTING: 19 hospitals in the USA that participated in the Consortium on Safe Labor. PARTICIPANTS: 228 562 pregnant women in 2002-2008. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Maternal and neonatal safety was measured using the individual Weighted Adverse Outcome Score. METHODS: Women were divided into 10 subgroups according to a modified Robson classification system. Generalised estimated equation model was used to examine the relationships between mode of delivery and Weighted Adverse Outcome Score in each subgroup. RESULTS: The overall caesarean rate was 31.2%. Repeat CD contributed 29.5% of all CD, followed by nulliparas with labour induction (15.3%) and non-cephalic presentation (14.3%). The caesarean rates in induced nulliparas with a term singleton cephalic pregnancy and women with previous CD were 31.6% and 82.0%, respectively. CD had no clinically meaningful association with perinatal outcomes in most subgroups. However, in singleton preterm breech presentation and preterm twin gestation with the first twin in non-cephalic presentation, CD was associated with substantially improved maternal and perinatal outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Women with repeat CD, term non-cephalic presentation, term twins or other multiple gestation and preterm births may be the potential targets for safely reducing prelabour CD rate, while nulliparas or multiparas with spontaneous or induced labour, women with repeat CD, term non-cephalic presentation, term twins or other multiple gestation and preterm births are potential targets for reducing intrapartum CD rate without compromising maternal and neonatal safety in the USA. On the other hand, CD may still be associated with better perinatal outcomes in women with singleton preterm breech presentation or preterm twins with the first twin in non-cephalic presentation.


Asunto(s)
Cesárea/estadística & datos numéricos , Seguridad del Paciente , Presentación de Nalgas , Cesárea Repetida/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Trabajo de Parto Inducido , Paridad , Embarazo , Embarazo Gemelar , Nacimiento Prematuro , Estados Unidos
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